Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1588 to 1.1589, up 0.01%
Market Energy Neutral -19.8% to Neutral -15.9%, up 3.9 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.04%0.08%0.01%
Energy3.017.626.73.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.04% 0.08% 0.01% 3.0 17.6 26.7 3.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.01% — higher than 5% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.9 pts — higher than 27% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,292 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,127 times

When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,057 times49.7%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,070 times50.3%

Current EURUSD market energy: -15.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 36.82%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 4.94%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-09-02 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-19.8%
Neutral
-15.9%
Neutral
-11.3%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, EURUSD within balanced energy.

The energy side shows Energy delta +3.9%: Market Energy at -15.9%, previously -19.8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.8 to -10.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1589, up 0.01% from the previous candle (1.1588). Market Energy was -15.9%, up 3.9 points from -19.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1589, up 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (1.1588). This rise is larger than 5% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 11,946 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19.8% to -15.9%. This rise is larger than 27% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -19.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -15.9%, EURUSD is 36.82 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 4.94 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -11.2%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, -15.9%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -65.1%. EURUSD energy is currently above DXY by 49.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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