Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1537 to 1.1537, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bear Critical -70.4% to Bear Critical -70.4%, down 0.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.02%0.03%0.01%
Energy43.414.11.10.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.02% 0.03% 0.01% 43.4 14.1 1.1 0.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 7% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.0 pts — higher than 0% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURUSD 1H

Sample: 72,846 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,278 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,694 times74.4%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 584 times25.6%

Current EURUSD market energy: -70.41%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.09%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H1 · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-70.4%
Bear Critical
-70.4%
Bear Critical
Expected at
13:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, EURUSD currently in the Bear Critical reading.

On the measurement side, Market trend energy recorded a 0% drop from the previous candle, from -70.4% to -70.4%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -99 to +95.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 11:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1537, down 0.01% from the previous candle (1.1537). Market Energy was -70.4%, down 0.0 points from -70.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1537, down 0.01% from the previous 1H candle (1.1537). This drop is larger than 7% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD, across 48,004 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy was nearly unchanged from the previous candle, holding around -70.4%.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURUSD at -70.4%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.4%, EURUSD is 10.41 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.09 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -98.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Critical, -70.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 59.3%. EURUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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