Analysis

ETHUSD 2,536.94 ↓6.97%: Bulls have the edge · W Oct 5, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 2,726.93 · High 2,738 · Low 2,406.11 · Close 2,536.94 · Range (high − low) 331.89
ETHUSD closed at 2,536.94, down 190 (-6.97%) from 2,726.94.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 75.6% to Bull Bias at 48.0%, down 27.6 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price2,645.22,688.72,726.92,536.9
Energy77.5%79.3%75.6%48.0%
Price change↑ 6.79%↑ 1.64%↑ 1.42%↓ 6.97%
Energy change↓ 0.3↑ 1.8↓ 3.7↓ 27.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 6.79%↑ 1.64%↑ 1.42%↓ 6.97%↓ 0.3↑ 1.8↓ 3.7↓ 27.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 6.97% — higher than 63% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 27.6 pts — higher than 81% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ETHUSD Weekly

Sample: 477 Weekly candles from 2017-08-21 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 37 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 17 times — 45.9%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 20 times — 54.1%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: 47.99%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 12.01%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.11%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · W1 · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
75.6%
Bull Extreme
48.0%
Bull Bias
1.0%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the Weekly candle closes, ETHUSD noted at the Bull Bias zone.

On trend energy, Compared to the previous candle (75.6%), Market Energy dropped -27.6% to 48%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 05-10-2026, ETHUSD was at 2,536.94, down 6.97% from the previous candle (2,726.94). Market Energy was 48%, down 27.6 points from 75.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,536.94, down 6.97% from the previous Weekly candle (2,726.94). This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for ETHUSD, across 405 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 27.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.6% to 48%. This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had ETHUSD at 75.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Bias.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 48%, ETHUSD is 12.01 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 27.11 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Bias, 48%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.7%. ETHUSD energy is currently above DXY by 62.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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