Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,684.71 to 2,676.76, down 0.30%
Market Energy Bear Critical -70.5% to Bear Critical -68.6%, up 1.9 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.63%0.86%0.21%0.30%
Energy73.210.78.81.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.63% 0.86% 0.21% 0.30% 73.2 10.7 8.8 1.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.30% — higher than 28% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.9 pts — higher than 12% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,934 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 873 times

When ETHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 636 times72.9%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 237 times27.1%

Current ETHUSD market energy: -68.63%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.63%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.87%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-24 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-70.5%
Bear Critical
-68.6%
Bear Critical
-61.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, ETHUSD currently in the near-peak Bear energy zone.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market Energy moved from -70.5% to -68.6%, up +1.9% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +93.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 24-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,676.76, down 0.3% from the previous candle (2,684.71). Market Energy was -68.6%, up 1.9 points from -70.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,676.76, down 0.3% from the previous 4H candle (2,684.71). This drop is larger than 28% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,935 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -70.5% to -68.6%. This rise is larger than 12% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -70.5%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -68.6%, ETHUSD is 8.63 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.87 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -74.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -54.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Critical, -68.6%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 51.3%. ETHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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