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| Price | ▲ 0.05% | ▼ 0.06% | ▲ 0.07% | ▼ 0.02% |
| Energy | ▲ 5.5 | ▲ 4.1 | ▲ 8.5 | ▲ 9.8 |
Trend of Bear Critical EURUSD 4H
▸When EURUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 535 times — 71.7%
- then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 211 times — 28.3%
▸Current EURUSD market energy: -66.09%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.09%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.41%
"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING
As the 4H candle completes, EURUSD reflects the near-peak Bear trend energy zone.
Per the 2AI model, Market Energy rose +9.8% from the previous candle, from -75.9% to -66.1%.
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.9 to +15.1.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 24-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1382, down 0.02% from the previous candle (1.1384). Market Energy was -66.1%, up 9.8 points from -75.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
EURUSD closed at 1.1382, down 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (1.1384). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 12,039 candles since 2019.
How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy rose 9.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -75.9% to -66.1%. This rise is larger than 54% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.
Do EURUSD price and energy agree?
No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.
What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -75.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.
Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -66.1%, EURUSD is 6.09 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.41 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.6%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Critical, -66.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 22.4%. EURUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.
See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →
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