Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,510.53 to 2,501, down 0.38%
Market Energy Bull Bias 40.6% to Bull Bias 30.9%, down 9.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.11%0.15%0.87%0.38%
Energy4.90.632.19.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.11% 0.15% 0.87% 0.38% 4.9 0.6 32.1 9.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.38% — higher than 34% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.7 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,848 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,611 times

When ETHUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 618 times38.4%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 993 times61.6%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 30.91%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 29.09%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 10.03%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-09 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
40.6%
Bull Bias
30.9%
Bull Bias
3.8%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, ETHUSD within energy leaning Bull.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy dropped -9.7% from the previous candle, from 40.6% to 30.9%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -62.6 to +77.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,501, down 0.38% from the previous candle (2,510.53). Market Energy was 30.9%, down 9.7 points from 40.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,501, down 0.38% from the previous 4H candle (2,510.53). This drop is larger than 34% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,847 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 40.6% to 30.9%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 40.6%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 30.9%, ETHUSD is 29.09 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 10.03 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -9.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -52.7%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Bias, 30.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 55.1%. ETHUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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