Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ETHUSD from 1,925.26 to 1,920.42, down 0.25%
Market Energy Neutral -16.6% to Neutral -16.2%, up 0.5 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.59%▲ 0.36%▲ 0.41%▼ 0.25%
Energy▼ 94.6▲ 8.1▲ 25.0▲ 0.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.59%▲ 0.36%▲ 0.41%▼ 0.25%▼ 94.6▲ 8.1▲ 25.0▲ 0.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.25% — higher than 24% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.5 pts — higher than 3% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 20,017 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-07
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,758 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 933 times — 53.1%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 825 times — 46.9%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: -16.16%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 37.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 4.72%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
-16.6%
Neutral
-16.2%
Neutral
-90.2%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Balanced trend energy is the result just recorded for ETHUSD after the 4H candle closed.

Observing the ETHUSD market this session, Market Energy at -16.2%, up +0.5% from -16.6% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -49.7 to +83.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 10-08-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 1,920.42, down 0.25% from the previous candle (1,925.26). Market Energy was -16.2%, up 0.5 points from -16.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 1,920.42, down 0.25% from the previous 4H candle (1,925.26). This drop is larger than 24% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,667 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -16.6% to -16.2%. This rise is larger than 3% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -16.6%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -16.2%, ETHUSD is 37.04 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 4.72 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Neutral, -16.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -38.5%. ETHUSD energy is currently above DXY by 22.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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