Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,519.63 to 2,520.82, up 0.05%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -81.1% to Bear Critical -73.3%, up 7.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.23%0.14%0.11%0.05%
Energy42.318.44.87.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.23% 0.14% 0.11% 0.05% 42.3 18.4 4.8 7.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 8% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.8 pts — higher than 42% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ETHUSD 1H

Sample: 79,386 1H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,394 times

When ETHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,613 times77%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 781 times23%

Current ETHUSD market energy: -73.25%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.25%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.25%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H1 · 2026-09-12 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-81.1%
Bear Extreme
-73.3%
Bear Critical
Expected at
05:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded ETHUSD in the Bear Critical reading after the 1H candle closed.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy rose +7.8% from the previous candle, from -81.1% to -73.3%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -94.7 to +98.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 13-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,520.82, up 0.05% from the previous candle (2,519.63). Market Energy was -73.3%, up 7.8 points from -81.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,520.82, up 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (2,519.63). This rise is larger than 8% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 67,425 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -81.1% to -73.3%. This rise is larger than 42% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ETHUSD at -81.1%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.3%, ETHUSD is 13.25 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.25 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Critical, -73.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -56.1%. ETHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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