Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,539.49 to 2,530.85, down 0.34%
Market Energy Bull Critical 67.7% to Bull Critical 63.6%, down 4.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.43%1.15%0.09%0.34%
Energy0.97.93.14.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.43% 1.15% 0.09% 0.34% 0.9 7.9 3.1 4.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.34% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.1 pts — higher than 25% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ETHUSD 1H

Sample: 79,361 1H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,692 times

When ETHUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 976 times26.4%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,716 times73.6%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 63.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.86%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.64%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H1 · 2026-09-11 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
67.7%
Bull Critical
63.6%
Bull Critical
53.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, ETHUSD currently in Bull trend energy near extreme.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market trend energy recorded a -4.1% drop from the previous candle, from 67.7% to 63.6%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -94.7 to +98.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 12-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,530.85, down 0.34% from the previous candle (2,539.49). Market Energy was 63.6%, down 4.1 points from 67.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,530.85, down 0.34% from the previous 1H candle (2,539.49). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 67,401 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 67.7% to 63.6%. This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ETHUSD at 67.7%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.6%, ETHUSD is 10.86 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.64 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Critical, 63.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -56.1%. ETHUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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