Analysis

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Price and energy
COCOA from 6,017.9 to 5,905.9, down 1.86%
Market Energy Bull Critical 72.2% to Bear Bias -33.7%, down 105.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.97%0.11%1.12%1.86%
Energy104.62.915.5105.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.97% 0.11% 1.12% 1.86% 104.6 2.9 15.5 105.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.86% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 105.9 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,711 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,561 times

When COCOA is in Bear Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 886 times56.8%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 675 times43.2%

Current COCOA market energy: -33.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 12.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 26.28%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-09-15 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
72.2%
Bull Critical
-33.7%
Bear Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, COCOA currently in Bear Bias.

At the 1H session close, Market Energy dropped -105.9% from the previous session, from 72.2% to -33.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -98.2 to +90.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 22:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,905.9, down 1.86% from the previous candle (6,017.9). Market Energy was -33.7%, down 105.9 points from 72.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,905.9, down 1.86% from the previous 1H candle (6,017.9). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA, across 19,026 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 105.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 72.2% to -33.7%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at 72.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -33.7%, COCOA is 12.84 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 26.28 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -77.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 20.3%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Bias, -33.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 9.2%. COCOA energy is currently below DXY by 43 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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