Analysis

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Price and energy
COCOA from 6,085.9 to 6,017.9, down 1.12%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 87.7% to Bull Critical 72.2%, down 15.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.51%1.97%0.11%1.12%
Energy76.5104.62.915.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.51% 1.97% 0.11% 1.12% 76.5 104.6 2.9 15.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.12% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.5 pts — higher than 63% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,711 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,095 times

When COCOA is in Bull Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 392 times35.8%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 703 times64.2%

Current COCOA market energy: 72.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.2%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-09-15 14:00 UTC
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Market Energy
87.7%
Bull Extreme
72.2%
Bull Critical
Expected at
23:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, COCOA in the Bull Critical level.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -15.5% this candle, currently 72.2% (previous candle 87.7%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -98.2 to +90.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 21:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 6,017.9, down 1.12% from the previous candle (6,085.9). Market Energy was 72.2%, down 15.5 points from 87.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 6,017.9, down 1.12% from the previous 1H candle (6,085.9). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA, across 19,025 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 87.7% to 72.2%. This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at 87.7%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.2%, COCOA is 2.3 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.2 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -76.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 23.8%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bull Critical, 72.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -23.4%. COCOA (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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