Analysis

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Price and energy
COCOA from 6,206.15 to 6,166.15, down 0.64%
Market Energy Neutral 18.7% to Neutral -16.7%, down 35.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.92%1.23%1.28%0.64%
Energy15.023.519.235.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.92% 1.23% 1.28% 0.64% 15.0 23.5 19.2 35.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.64% — higher than 75% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 35.4 pts — higher than 83% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,681 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,532 times

When COCOA is in Neutral:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 789 times51.5%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 743 times48.5%

Current COCOA market energy: -16.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 37.6%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 4.16%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-09-03 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
18.7%
Neutral
-16.7%
Neutral
-23.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, COCOA in the Neutral level.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -35.4% from the previous candle, from 18.7% to -16.7%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -99.8 to +70.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 6,166.15, down 0.64% from the previous candle (6,206.15). Market Energy was -16.7%, down 35.4 points from 18.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 6,166.15, down 0.64% from the previous 1H candle (6,206.15). This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA, across 18,957 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 35.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 18.7% to -16.7%. This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at 18.7%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -16.7%, COCOA is 37.6 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 4.16 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.3%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Neutral, -16.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -84.5%. COCOA energy is currently above DXY by 67.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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