Analysis

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Price and energy
COCOA from 5,950.9 to 5,965.65, up 0.25%
Market Energy Bear Bias -42.4% to Bear Bias -43.4%, down 1.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.33%0.69%4.04%0.25%
Energy47.12.429.81.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.33% 0.69% 4.04% 0.25% 47.1 2.4 29.8 1.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.25% — higher than 9% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.0 pts — higher than 5% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,620 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 213 times

When COCOA is in Bear Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 118 times55.4%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 95 times44.6%

Current COCOA market energy: -43.38%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 22.5%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 16.62%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-42.4%
Bear Bias
-43.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily session ends, COCOA reflects the energy zone leaning Bear.

Observing the COCOA market this session, Market Energy dropped -1% this candle, currently -43.4% (previous candle -42.4%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -43.4 to -12.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,965.65, up 0.25% from the previous candle (5,950.9). Market Energy was -43.4%, down 1.0 points from -42.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,965.65, up 0.25% from the previous Daily candle (5,950.9). This rise is larger than 9% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 1,927 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -42.4% to -43.4%. This drop is larger than 5% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at -42.4%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -43.4%, COCOA is 22.5 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 16.62 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -19.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -50.9%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Bias, -43.4%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82%. COCOA (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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