Analysis

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Price and energy
COCOA from 6,516.75 to 6,201.25, down 4.84%
Market Energy Bear Bias -41.9% to Bear Extreme -96.4%, down 54.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.41%0.27%0.08%4.84%
Energy5.811.61.354.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.41% 0.27% 0.08% 4.84% 5.8 11.6 1.3 54.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.84% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 54.5 pts — higher than 90% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,721 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 854 times

When COCOA is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 854 times100%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current COCOA market energy: -96.4%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.9%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 3.6%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-09-02 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-41.9%
Bear Bias
-96.4%
Bear Extreme
-99.8%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, COCOA noted at the Extreme state of Bear.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, A -54.5% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -96.4% (previous: -41.9%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -96.4 to +74.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 02-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 6,201.25, down 4.84% from the previous candle (6,516.75). Market Energy was -96.4%, down 54.5 points from -41.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 6,201.25, down 4.84% from the previous 1H candle (6,516.75). This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA on record since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 54.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -41.9% to -96.4%. This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at -41.9%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -96.4%, COCOA is 21.9 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 3.6 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -9.6%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Extreme, -96.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 37.3%. COCOA (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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