Analysis

·

Price and energy
COCOA from 6,063.9 to 5,895.7, down 2.77%
Market Energy Bear Bias -24.7% to Bear Bias -34.4%, down 9.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.15%0.38%1.88%2.77%
Energy9.20.68.89.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.15% 0.38% 1.88% 2.77% 9.2 0.6 8.8 9.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.77% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.6 pts — higher than 41% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,623 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 213 times

When COCOA is in Bear Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 118 times55.4%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 95 times44.6%

Current COCOA market energy: -34.38%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.5%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.62%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-24.7%
Bear Bias
-34.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, COCOA noted at the Bear Bias state.

On the energy side, Market Energy at -34.4%, down -9.6% from -24.7% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 6 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -34.4 to -24.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,895.7, down 2.77% from the previous candle (6,063.9). Market Energy was -34.4%, down 9.6 points from -24.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,895.7, down 2.77% from the previous Daily candle (6,063.9). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 1,931 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -24.7% to -34.4%. This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at -24.7%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -34.4%, COCOA is 13.5 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 25.62 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 35.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Bias, -34.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 2.8%. COCOA energy is currently below DXY by 37.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .