Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 5,918.55 to 5,826.7, down 1.55%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.3% to Bull Critical 60.5%, down 9.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.77%▲ 3.29%▲ 4.45%▼ 1.55%
Energy▲ 28.8▲ 64.3▲ 51.9▼ 9.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.77%▲ 3.29%▲ 4.45%▼ 1.55%▲ 28.8▲ 64.3▲ 51.9▼ 9.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.55% — higher than 60% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.8 pts — higher than 41% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,639 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 156 times

▸When COCOA is in Bull Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 50 times — 32.1%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 106 times — 67.9%

▸Current COCOA market energy: 60.49%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 14.01%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.49%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2026-10-06 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
70.3%
Bull Critical
60.5%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, COCOA in Bull trend energy near extreme.

Market movement just recorded on the Daily timeframe, Market Energy dropped -9.8% from the previous session, from 70.3% to 60.5%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -45.8 to +70.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 06-10-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,826.7, down 1.55% from the previous candle (5,918.55). Market Energy was 60.5%, down 9.8 points from 70.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,826.7, down 1.55% from the previous Daily candle (5,918.55). This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 1,946 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.3% to 60.5%. This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at 70.3%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.5%, COCOA is 14.01 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.49 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 72.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 59.3%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bull Critical, 60.5%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -63.9%. COCOA (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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