Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 5,664.65 to 5,405.75, down 4.57%
Market Energy Neutral -10.2% to Bear Bias -58.6%, down 48.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.45%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.14%▼ 4.57%
Energy▲ 31.3▲ 8.5▲ 2.2▼ 48.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.45%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.14%▼ 4.57%▲ 31.3▲ 8.5▲ 2.2▼ 48.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.57% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 48.4 pts — higher than 88% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,634 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 215 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 119 times — 55.3%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 96 times — 44.7%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -58.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 37.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 1.44%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-10.2%
Neutral
-58.6%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, COCOA recorded in the Bear trend energy zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy reading dropped -48.4%, moving from -10.2% to -58.6% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -58.6 to -10.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,405.75, down 4.57% from the previous candle (5,664.65). Market Energy was -58.6%, down 48.4 points from -10.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,405.75, down 4.57% from the previous Daily candle (5,664.65). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 1,941 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 48.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -10.2% to -58.6%. This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at -10.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -58.6%, COCOA is 37.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 1.44 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -19.4%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Bias, -58.6%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29.8%. COCOA (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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