Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 85,986.62 to 86,413.12, up 0.50%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 78.3% to Bull Extreme 78.9%, up 0.6 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.07%0.41%0.75%0.50%
Energy7.89.31.20.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.07% 0.41% 0.75% 0.50% 7.8 9.3 1.2 0.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.50% — higher than 52% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.6 pts — higher than 4% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,422 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-09-22
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 799 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 799 times100%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 78.87%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 21.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 4.37%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-09-22 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
78.3%
Bull Extreme
78.9%
Bull Extreme
73.6%
Bull Critical
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, BTCUSD in the trend energy Bull Extreme.

Observing the BTCUSD market this session, Market Energy reading rose +0.6%, moving from 78.3% to 78.9% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 8 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -47.4 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 86,413.12, up 0.5% from the previous candle (85,986.62). Market Energy was 78.9%, up 0.6 points from 78.3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 86,413.12, up 0.5% from the previous 4H candle (85,986.62). This rise is larger than 52% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 17,042 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 78.3% to 78.9%. This rise is larger than 4% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 78.3%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 78.9%, BTCUSD is 21.13 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 4.37 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 78.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.5%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 90.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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