Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 81,302.63 to 81,636.01, up 0.41%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 89.1% to Bull Extreme 85.8%, down 3.3 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.31%0.04%0.25%0.41%
Energy5.52.21.83.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.31% 0.04% 0.25% 0.41% 5.5 2.2 1.8 3.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.41% — higher than 45% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.3 pts — higher than 23% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,397 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 797 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 797 times100%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 85.8%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 14.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 11.3%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
89.1%
Bull Extreme
85.8%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
03:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, BTCUSD within the Bull Extreme measurement.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy dropped -3.3% this candle, currently 85.8% (previous candle 89.1%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 9 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.6 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 19-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 81,636.01, up 0.41% from the previous candle (81,302.63). Market Energy was 85.8%, down 3.3 points from 89.1%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 81,636.01, up 0.41% from the previous 4H candle (81,302.63). This rise is larger than 45% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 17,024 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 89.1% to 85.8%. This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 89.1%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 85.8%, BTCUSD is 14.2 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 11.3 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 59.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.2%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 85.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -75.7%. BTCUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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