Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 76,417.01 to 80,883.87, up 5.85%
Market Energy Bear Bias -46.6% to Bull Critical 72.2%, up 118.8 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price3.25%0.74%0.28%5.85%
Energy30.11.78.7118.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
3.25% 0.74% 0.28% 5.85% 30.1 1.7 8.7 118.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 5.85% — higher than 96% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 118.8 pts — higher than 99% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD Daily

Sample: 5,712 Daily candles from 2011-01-20 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 295 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 123 times41.7%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 172 times58.3%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 72.17%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.33%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.17%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · D1 · 2026-09-18 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-46.6%
Bear Bias
72.2%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the Daily candle closes, BTCUSD within the Bull Critical state.

The market energy reading A +118.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 72.2% (previous: -46.6%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -57 to +72.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 18-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 80,883.87, up 5.85% from the previous candle (76,417.01). Market Energy was 72.2%, up 118.8 points from -46.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 80,883.87, up 5.85% from the previous Daily candle (76,417.01). This rise is larger than 96% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for BTCUSD, across 125 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 118.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -46.6% to 72.2%. This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had BTCUSD at -46.6%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.2%, BTCUSD is 2.33 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.17 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 16.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -84.2%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 72.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 52.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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