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| Price | ▼ 0.35% | ▼ 0.76% | ▼ 0.12% | ▼ 0.77% |
| Energy | ▼ 15.4 | ▼ 12.9 | ▲ 1.7 | ▼ 11.3 |
Trend of Bear Critical BTCUSD 4H
▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 657 times — 74.5%
- then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 225 times — 25.5%
▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -72.35%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.35%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.15%
"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING
As the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD currently in Bear energy near extreme.
Observing the BTCUSD market this session, Market Energy dropped -11.3% from the previous candle, from -61% to -72.4%.
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -73.7 to +48.7.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 76,568.72, down 0.77% from the previous candle (77,160.83). Market Energy was -72.4%, down 11.3 points from -61%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
BTCUSD closed at 76,568.72, down 0.77% from the previous 4H candle (77,160.83). This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,972 candles since 2019.
How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy fell 11.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -61% to -72.4%. This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.
Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.
What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -61%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.
Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -72.4%, BTCUSD is 12.35 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.15 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -72.4%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30.6%. BTCUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.
See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →
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