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| Price | ▲ 0.09% | ▲ 0.03% | ▼ 0.28% | ▼ 0.35% |
| Energy | ▲ 4.0 | ▲ 9.2 | ▼ 2.3 | ▼ 15.4 |
Trend of Bear Bias BTCUSD 4H
▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Bias:
- then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 940 times — 63.4%
- then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 543 times — 36.6%
▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -49.84%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 28.96%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 10.16%
"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING
The Bear Bias energy zone recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for BTCUSD.
At the 4H session close, Market Energy dropped -15.4% this candle, currently -49.8% (previous candle -34.4%).
Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 5 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -73.7 to +48.7.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 77,840.8, down 0.35% from the previous candle (78,112). Market Energy was -49.8%, down 15.4 points from -34.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.
How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
BTCUSD closed at 77,840.8, down 0.35% from the previous 4H candle (78,112). This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,969 candles since 2019.
How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy fell 15.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -34.4% to -49.8%. This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.
Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.
What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -34.4%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.
Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?
At -49.8%, BTCUSD is 28.96 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 10.16 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Bias mean?
Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Bias definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -53.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -87.7%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Bias, -49.8%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -6.4%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 43.4 points.
See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →
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