Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 80,850 to 80,656.87, down 0.24%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 93.0% to Bull Extreme 87.7%, down 5.3 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.50%▼ 0.59%▼ 0.52%▼ 0.24%
Energy▼ 0.0▼ 1.0▼ 4.6▼ 5.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.50%▼ 0.59%▼ 0.52%▼ 0.24%▼ 0.0▼ 1.0▼ 4.6▼ 5.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.24% — higher than 30% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.3 pts — higher than 35% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,488 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-03
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 801 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 801 times — 100%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 87.72%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 12.28%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 13.22%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-09-04 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live BTCUSD chart →
Market Energy
93.0%
Bull Extreme
87.7%
Bull Extreme
86.1%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

BTCUSD recorded in the Bull Extreme state as the 4H candle ended.

On the measurement side, Market Energy dropped -5.3% this candle, currently 87.7% (previous candle 93%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -49.8 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 80,656.87, down 0.24% from the previous candle (80,850). Market Energy was 87.7%, down 5.3 points from 93%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 80,656.87, down 0.24% from the previous 4H candle (80,850). This drop is larger than 30% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,932 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 93% to 87.7%. This drop is larger than 35% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 93%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 87.7%, BTCUSD is 12.28 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 13.22 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.2%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 87.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.9%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 108.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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