Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 81,270.37 to 80,850, down 0.52%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 97.6% to Bull Extreme 93.0%, down 4.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price4.36%0.50%0.59%0.52%
Energy66.40.01.04.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
4.36% 0.50% 0.59% 0.52% 66.4 0.0 1.0 4.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.52% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.6 pts — higher than 31% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,349 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 795 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 795 times100%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 93.03%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 6.97%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 18.53%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
97.6%
Bull Extreme
93.0%
Bull Extreme
87.7%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD within the peak Bull energy level.

Market energy measurement A -4.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 93% (previous: 97.6%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -49.8 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 80,850, down 0.52% from the previous candle (81,270.37). Market Energy was 93%, down 4.6 points from 97.6%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 80,850, down 0.52% from the previous 4H candle (81,270.37). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,931 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 97.6% to 93%. This drop is larger than 31% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 97.6%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 93%, BTCUSD is 6.97 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 18.53 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 57.5%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 93%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -59.4%. BTCUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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