Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 84,410.24 to 84,099.99, down 0.37%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 79.9% to Bull Critical 73.8%, down 6.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.47%▼ 2.10%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.37%
Energy▲ 4.1▼ 11.3▼ 8.0▼ 6.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.47%▼ 2.10%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.37%▲ 4.1▼ 11.3▼ 8.0▼ 6.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.37% — higher than 21% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.1 pts — higher than 34% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD Daily

Sample: 5,719 Daily candles from 2011-01-20 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 296 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 124 times — 41.9%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 172 times — 58.1%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 73.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.73%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.77%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · D1 · 2026-09-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
79.9%
Bull Extreme
73.8%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, BTCUSD currently in the near-peak Bull energy state.

On the measurement side, Energy delta -6.1%: Market Energy at 73.8%, previously 79.9%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from +73.8 to +99.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 84,099.99, down 0.37% from the previous candle (84,410.24). Market Energy was 73.8%, down 6.1 points from 79.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 84,099.99, down 0.37% from the previous Daily candle (84,410.24). This drop is larger than 21% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for BTCUSD, across 132 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 79.9% to 73.8%. This drop is larger than 34% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had BTCUSD at 79.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 73.8%, BTCUSD is 0.73 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.77 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 18.5%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 73.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.8%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 76.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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