Analysis

AUDUSD 0.6958 ↓0.15%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 00:00 Oct 13, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.69681 · High 0.69703 · Low 0.69552 · Close 0.6958 · Range (high − low) 0.00151
AUDUSD closed at 0.6958, down 0.00102 (-0.15%) from 0.69682.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -59.2% to Bear Extreme at -80.8%, down 21.6 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.697850.697040.696820.6958
Energy40.1%-30.5%-59.2%-80.8%
Price change↓ 0.17%↓ 0.12%↓ 0.03%↓ 0.15%
Energy change↓ 10.1↓ 70.6↓ 28.7↓ 21.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.17%↓ 0.12%↓ 0.03%↓ 0.15%↓ 10.1↓ 70.6↓ 28.7↓ 21.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.15% — higher than 55% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 21.6 pts — higher than 78% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,354 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 259 times

▸When AUDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 259 times — 100%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current AUDUSD market energy: -80.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.3%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 19.2%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-59.2%
Bear Bias
-80.8%
Bear Extreme
-82.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, AUDUSD recorded in Bear in Extreme state.

Market energy measurement Market Energy dropped -21.6% from the previous session, from -59.2% to -80.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.8 to 52.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 12-10-2026, AUDUSD was at 0.6958, down 0.15% from the previous candle (0.69682). Market Energy was -80.8%, down 21.6 points from -59.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.6958, down 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (0.69682). This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 12,104 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 21.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -59.2% to -80.8%. This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at -59.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -80.8%, AUDUSD is 6.3 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 19.2 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Extreme, -80.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80.9%. AUDUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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