Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.70253 to 0.70121, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Critical -61.2% to Bear Critical -65.6%, down 4.4 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.07%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.19%
Energy▲ 4.8▲ 2.0▲ 14.9▼ 4.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.07%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.19%▲ 4.8▲ 2.0▲ 14.9▼ 4.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 64% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.4 pts — higher than 24% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,233 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-23
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 620 times

▸When AUDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 439 times — 70.8%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 181 times — 29.2%

▸Current AUDUSD market energy: -65.62%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.62%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.88%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-24 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-61.2%
Bear Critical
-65.6%
Bear Critical
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

AUDUSD classified into Bear trend energy near extreme after the 4H candle completed.

Market trend update: Market Energy at -65.6%, down -4.4% from -61.2% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to +50.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, AUDUSD was at 0.70121, down 0.19% from the previous candle (0.70253). Market Energy was -65.6%, down 4.4 points from -61.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.70121, down 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (0.70253). This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 12,033 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -61.2% to -65.6%. This drop is larger than 24% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at -61.2%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -65.6%, AUDUSD is 5.62 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.88 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.2%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Critical, -65.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 41.3%. AUDUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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