Analysis

ADAUSD 0.2329 ↓2.43%: Bears very strong · 4H 19:00 Oct 13, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.2388 · High 0.2395 · Low 0.2316 · Close 0.2329 · Range (high − low) 0.0079
ADAUSD closed at 0.2329, down 0.0058 (-2.43%) from 0.2387.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -53.0% to Bear Critical at -60.7%, down 7.7 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.23310.23680.23870.2329
Energy-94.1%-71.2%-53.0%-60.7%
Price change↓ 4.00%↑ 1.59%↑ 0.80%↓ 2.43%
Energy change↓ 10.8↑ 22.9↑ 18.1↓ 7.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 4.00%↑ 1.59%↑ 0.80%↓ 2.43%↓ 10.8↑ 22.9↑ 18.1↓ 7.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.43% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.7 pts — higher than 46% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,628 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 496 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 390 times — 78.6%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 106 times — 21.4%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: -60.73%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.73%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.77%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
-53.0%
Bear Bias
-60.7%
Bear Critical
-58.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Bear Critical of Market Energy determined for ADAUSD through the 4H candle data.

Meanwhile, Market Energy moved from -53% to -60.7%, down -7.7% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.3 to 86.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 19:00 on 13-10-2026, ADAUSD was at 0.2329, down 2.43% from the previous candle (0.2387). Market Energy was -60.7%, down 7.7 points from -53%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2329, down 2.43% from the previous 4H candle (0.2387). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 17,050 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -53% to -60.7%. This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -53%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.7%, ADAUSD is 0.73 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.77 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 62.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.7%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -60.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -62.6%. ADAUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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