Analysis

ADAUSD 0.2546 ↓0.27%: Bulls very strong · 4H 23:00 Oct 10, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.2553 · High 0.2595 · Low 0.254 · Close 0.2546 · Range (high − low) 0.0055
ADAUSD closed at 0.2546, down 0.0007 (-0.27%) from 0.2553.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 85.6% to Bull Critical at 72.6%, down 13.0 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.25070.25420.25530.2546
Energy63.0%86.7%85.6%72.6%
Price change↑ 3.13%↑ 1.40%↑ 0.43%↓ 0.27%
Energy change↑ 85.3↑ 23.7↓ 1.1↓ 13.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 3.13%↑ 1.40%↑ 0.43%↓ 0.27%↑ 85.3↑ 23.7↓ 1.1↓ 13.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.27% — higher than 17% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.0 pts — higher than 66% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,654 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 528 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 137 times — 25.9%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 391 times — 74.1%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 72.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.92%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.58%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
85.6%
Bull Extreme
72.6%
Bull Critical
58.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, ADAUSD reflects Bull in Critical state.

Market trend update: The energy level dropped -13%: from 85.6% now at 72.6%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.3 to 86.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 23:00 on 10-10-2026, ADAUSD was at 0.2546, down 0.27% from the previous candle (0.2553). Market Energy was 72.6%, down 13.0 points from 85.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2546, down 0.27% from the previous 4H candle (0.2553). This drop is larger than 17% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 17,033 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13 percentage points from the previous candle — from 85.6% to 72.6%. This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 85.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.6%, ADAUSD is 1.92 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.58 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Critical, 72.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5%. ADAUSD energy is currently above DXY by 77.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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