Analysis

ADAUSD 0.2293 ↓0.13%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 1H 10:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.2295 · High 0.2306 · Low 0.2288 · Close 0.2293 · Range (high − low) 0.0018
ADAUSD closed at 0.2293, down 0.0003 (-0.13%) from 0.2296.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 37.7% to Neutral at 2.9%, down 34.8 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.23010.23080.22960.2293
Energy61.2%63.5%37.7%2.9%
Price change↓ 0.26%↑ 0.30%↓ 0.52%↓ 0.13%
Energy change↓ 7.3↑ 2.3↓ 25.8↓ 34.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.26%↑ 0.30%↓ 0.52%↓ 0.13%↓ 7.3↑ 2.3↓ 25.8↓ 34.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.13% — higher than 15% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 34.8 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 74,568 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-22
Number of Neutral occurrences: 7,843 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,812 times — 48.6%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 4,031 times — 51.4%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 2.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 17.94%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 23.82%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-10-16 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
37.7%
Bull Bias
2.9%
Neutral
1.5%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, ADAUSD in Neutral.

End-of-session energy readings on 1H, Market Energy at 2.9%, down -34.8% from 37.7% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.1 to 99.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 10:00 on 16-10-2026, ADAUSD was at 0.2293, down 0.13% from the previous candle (0.2296). Market Energy was 2.9%, down 34.8 points from 37.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2293, down 0.13% from the previous 1H candle (0.2296). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 68,223 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 34.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 37.7% to 2.9%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at 37.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 2.9%, ADAUSD is 17.94 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 23.82 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 54.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.3%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Neutral, 2.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -61.1%. ADAUSD energy is currently above DXY by 64 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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