Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2516 to 0.2539, up 0.91%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 75.6% to Bull Critical 74.2%, down 1.4 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.36%▲ 0.28%▼ 0.79%▲ 0.91%
Energy▼ 3.7▼ 6.8▼ 10.8▼ 1.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.36%▲ 0.28%▼ 0.79%▲ 0.91%▼ 3.7▼ 6.8▼ 10.8▼ 1.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.91% — higher than 76% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.4 pts — higher than 10% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,998 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,984 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 496 times — 25%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,488 times — 75%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 74.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.29%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 14.21%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-09-29 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
75.6%
Bull Extreme
74.2%
Bull Critical
67.4%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, Result for ADAUSD: Bull Critical.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy reading dropped -1.4%, moving from 75.6% to 74.2% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.6 to +97.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2539, up 0.91% from the previous candle (0.2516). Market Energy was 74.2%, down 1.4 points from 75.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2539, up 0.91% from the previous 1H candle (0.2516). This rise is larger than 76% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,824 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.6% to 74.2%. This drop is larger than 10% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at 75.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 74.2%, ADAUSD is 0.29 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 14.21 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 93.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.5%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Critical, 74.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -22.8%. ADAUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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