Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 693.65 to 691.9, down 0.25%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 75.5% to Bull Critical 65.2%, down 10.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.08%▼ 0.06%▲ 0.71%▼ 0.25%
Energy▲ 1.6▲ 1.0▲ 133.9▼ 10.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.08%▼ 0.06%▲ 0.71%▼ 0.25%▲ 1.6▲ 1.0▲ 133.9▼ 10.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.25% — higher than 61% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.3 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical WHEAT 1H

Sample: 14,985 1H candles from 2023-07-26 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 723 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bull Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 232 times — 32.1%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 491 times — 67.9%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: 65.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 9.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 5.2%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H1 · 2026-09-29 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
75.5%
Bull Extreme
65.2%
Bull Critical
Expected at
21:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, WHEAT within the Bull Critical state.

On the energy side, Market Energy reading dropped -10.3%, moving from 75.5% to 65.2% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -100 to +97.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 691.9, down 0.25% from the previous candle (693.65). Market Energy was 65.2%, down 10.3 points from 75.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 691.9, down 0.25% from the previous 1H candle (693.65). This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT, across 14,999 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.5% to 65.2%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had WHEAT at 75.5%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 65.2%, WHEAT is 9.3 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 5.2 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.9%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bull Critical, 65.2%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.7%. WHEAT energy is currently above DXY by 60.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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