Analysis

·

Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.1947 to 0.1948, up 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Bias 22.7% to Bull Bias 20.9%, down 1.8 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.10%0.41%0.05%
Energy6.95.09.31.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.10% 0.41% 0.05% 6.9 5.0 9.3 1.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 5% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.8 pts — higher than 12% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,569 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 5,325 times

When ADAUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,450 times27.2%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 3,875 times72.8%

Current ADAUSD market energy: 20.92%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 39.08%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 0.04%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
22.7%
Bull Bias
20.9%
Bull Bias
31.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, ADAUSD noted at the energy state leaning Bull.

The energy side shows Market Energy moved from 22.7% to 20.9%, down -1.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 5 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -61.2 to +89.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 04-08-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.1948, up 0.05% from the previous candle (0.1947). Market Energy was 20.9%, down 1.8 points from 22.7%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.1948, up 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (0.1947). This rise is larger than 5% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 66,477 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 22.7% to 20.9%. This drop is larger than 12% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at 22.7%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 20.9%, ADAUSD is 39.08 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 0.04 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 74.1%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Bias, 20.9%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 28%. ADAUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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