Analysis

·

Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,218.56 to 4,155.41, down 1.50%
Market Energy Bear Critical -64.8% to Bear Critical -63.6%, up 1.2 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.50% — higher than 57% of past drops
Energy up 1.2 pts — higher than 5% of past rises
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.684.682.531.509.624.36.31.2-3-2-1nến này
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XAUUSD Weekly

Sample: 711 Weekly candles from 2013-01-14 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 38 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 28 times73.7%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 10 times26.3%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -63.6%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.6%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.9%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · W1 · 2026-06-15 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
-64.8%
Bear Critical
-63.6%
Bear Critical
-67.2%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, XAUUSD on Weekly is in bear critical with energy -63.6. Energy changed +1.2 from previous candle.

XAUUSD on Weekly timeframe is currently in bear critical state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -63.6, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on Weekly when this candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 15-06-2026 closed, XAUUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -63.6%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -64.8% to -63.6%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had XAUUSD at -64.8%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.6%, XAUUSD is 3.6 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.9 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 96.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Critical, -63.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -99.8%. XAUUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .