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| Price | ▲ 0.76% | ▲ 0.49% | ▲ 0.04% | ▼ 1.61% |
| Energy | ▼ 3.7 | ▲ 2.6 | ▼ 7.7 | ▼ 98.8 |
Trend of Neutral XAUUSD 4H
▸When XAUUSD is in Neutral:
- then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 755 times — 52.2%
- then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 691 times — 47.8%
▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -19.64%
- Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 40.52%
- Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 1.24%
"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING
Reading from the 4H candle, Result for XAUUSD: the Neutral energy state.
The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -98.8% from the previous candle, from 79.2% to -19.6%.
Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -19.6 to +88.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 21:00 on 02-03-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 5,307, down 1.61% from the previous candle (5,394.08). Market Energy was -19.6%, down 98.8 points from 79.2%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.
How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
XAUUSD closed at 5,307, down 1.61% from the previous 4H candle (5,394.08). This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 11,074 candles since 2019.
How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy fell 98.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 79.2% to -19.6%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.
Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.
What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 79.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Neutral.
Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?
At -19.6%, XAUUSD is 40.52 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 1.24 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.
What does Neutral mean?
Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Neutral definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.4%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, -19.6%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 76.6%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 96.2 points.
See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →
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