Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,964.24 to 1,961.42, down 0.14%
Market Energy Bull Bias 27.1% to Neutral 15.6%, down 11.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.02%▲ 0.15%▲ 0.17%▼ 0.14%
Energy▲ 4.1▲ 9.5▲ 40.1▼ 11.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.02%▲ 0.15%▲ 0.17%▼ 0.14%▲ 4.1▲ 9.5▲ 40.1▼ 11.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.14% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.5 pts — higher than 58% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,126 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,444 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 754 times — 52.2%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 690 times — 47.8%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 15.6%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 5.28%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 36.48%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2023-06-13 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
27.1%
Bull Bias
15.6%
Neutral
-68.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, XAUUSD currently in the zone between Bull and Bear energy.

On the measurement side, Energy delta -11.5%: Market Energy at 15.6%, previously 27.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -36.9 to +86.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 13-06-2023 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,961.42, down 0.14% from the previous candle (1,964.24). Market Energy was 15.6%, down 11.5 points from 27.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,961.42, down 0.14% from the previous 4H candle (1,964.24). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 6,868 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 27.1% to 15.6%. This drop is larger than 58% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 27.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 15.6%, XAUUSD is 5.28 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 36.48 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -13.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 15.6%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -57.8%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 73.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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