Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,815.68 to 1,809.94, down 0.32%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.9% to Bear Extreme -93.7%, down 24.8 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.08%▼ 0.16%▼ 0.33%▼ 0.32%
Energy▲ 1.5▼ 13.2▼ 19.1▼ 24.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.08%▼ 0.16%▼ 0.33%▼ 0.32%▲ 1.5▼ 13.2▼ 19.1▼ 24.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.32% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 24.8 pts — higher than 79% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,130 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 587 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 587 times — 100%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -93.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 19.17%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 6.33%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2023-02-24 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
-68.9%
Bear Critical
-93.7%
Bear Extreme
-90.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, Result for XAUUSD: the Bear Extreme reading.

Market energy measurement A -24.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -93.7% (previous: -68.9%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.7 to +85.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 21:00 on 24-02-2023 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,809.94, down 0.32% from the previous candle (1,815.68). Market Energy was -93.7%, down 24.8 points from -68.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,809.94, down 0.32% from the previous 4H candle (1,815.68). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 6,413 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 24.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.9% to -93.7%. This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at -68.9%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -93.7%, XAUUSD is 19.17 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 6.33 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -98.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -91.2%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Extreme, -93.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 89.8%. XAUUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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