Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,653.25 to 1,653, down 0.01%
Market Energy Neutral 19.7% to Bull Bias 24.2%, up 4.5 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.38%▼ 0.10%▲ 0.66%▼ 0.01%
Energy▼ 53.9▼ 25.8▲ 47.9▲ 4.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.38%▼ 0.10%▲ 0.66%▼ 0.01%▼ 53.9▼ 25.8▲ 47.9▲ 4.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 6% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 4.5 pts — higher than 27% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,132 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,499 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 647 times — 43.2%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 852 times — 56.8%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 24.15%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 35.85%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 3.27%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2022-10-25 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
19.7%
Neutral
24.2%
Bull Bias
16.0%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, XAUUSD classified as the Bull Bias state.

Looking at the energy level, Market trend energy recorded a +4.5% rise from the previous candle, from 19.7% to 24.2%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -61.8 to +99.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 26-10-2022 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,653, down 0.01% from the previous candle (1,653.25). Market Energy was 24.2%, up 4.5 points from 19.7%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,653, down 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (1,653.25). This drop is larger than 6% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 5,898 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 4.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 19.7% to 24.2%. This rise is larger than 27% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 19.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 24.2%, XAUUSD is 35.85 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 3.27 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 83%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87.8%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 24.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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