Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,594.57 to 1,583.79, down 0.68%
Market Energy Bull Critical 74.0% to Bull Bias 57.4%, down 16.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.15%▲ 1.22%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.68%
Energy▲ 8.1▲ 4.0▲ 8.2▼ 16.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.15%▲ 1.22%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.68%▲ 8.1▲ 4.0▲ 8.2▼ 16.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.68% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.6 pts — higher than 69% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,127 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,499 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 647 times — 43.2%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 852 times — 56.8%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 57.4%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 2.6%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 36.52%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2020-01-08 06:00 UTC
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Market Energy
74.0%
Bull Critical
57.4%
Bull Bias
34.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, XAUUSD in the energy zone leaning Bull.

Market trend energy Compared to the previous candle (74%), Market Energy dropped -16.6% to 57.4%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -22.9 to +93.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 13:00 on 08-01-2020 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,583.79, down 0.68% from the previous candle (1,594.57). Market Energy was 57.4%, down 16.6 points from 74%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,583.79, down 0.68% from the previous 4H candle (1,594.57). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 1,569 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 74% to 57.4%. This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 74%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 57.4%, XAUUSD is 2.6 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 36.52 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 16.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -52.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 57.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 39.1%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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