Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,419 to 1,444.92, up 1.83%
Market Energy Bull Bias 23.9% to Bull Extreme 98.4%, up 74.5 pts
Up candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.34%▲ 0.08%▲ 0.91%▲ 1.83%
Energy▲ 2.7▲ 5.4▲ 108.7▲ 74.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.34%▲ 0.08%▲ 0.91%▲ 1.83%▲ 2.7▲ 5.4▲ 108.7▲ 74.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.83% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy up 74.5 pts — higher than 94% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,127 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 762 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 762 times — 100%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 98.39%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 1.61%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 23.89%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2019-08-01 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
23.9%
Bull Bias
98.4%
Bull Extreme
97.1%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, XAUUSD reflects the trend energy Bull Extreme.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy rose +74.5% from the previous candle, from 23.9% to 98.4%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.6 to +98.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 02-08-2019 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,444.92, up 1.83% from the previous candle (1,419). Market Energy was 98.4%, up 74.5 points from 23.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,444.92, up 1.83% from the previous 4H candle (1,419). This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD on record since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 74.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 23.9% to 98.4%. This rise is larger than 94% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 23.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Extreme.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 98.4%, XAUUSD is 1.61 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 23.89 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -77.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 98.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -90.1%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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