Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,165.04 to 1,163.27, down 0.15%
Market Energy Bull Bias 57.7% to Bull Bias 42.6%, down 15.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.34%▼ 0.11%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.15%
Energy▲ 10.5▼ 8.3▼ 8.8▼ 15.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.34%▼ 0.11%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.15%▲ 10.5▼ 8.3▼ 8.8▼ 15.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.15%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.1 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,132 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,499 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 647 times — 43.2%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 852 times — 56.8%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 42.59%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 17.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 21.71%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2017-01-04 18:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
57.7%
Bull Bias
42.6%
Bull Bias
68.4%
Bull Critical
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, XAUUSD in the Bull Bias energy level.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Market Energy reading dropped -15.1%, moving from 57.7% to 42.6% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -57.9 to +74.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 01:00 on 05-01-2017 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,163.27, down 0.15% from the previous candle (1,165.04). Market Energy was 42.6%, down 15.1 points from 57.7%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,163.27, down 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (1,165.04).

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 57.7% to 42.6%.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 57.7%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 42.6%, XAUUSD is 17.41 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 21.71 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 72.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 42.6%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -4.3%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 46.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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