Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,327.43 to 1,317.88, down 0.72%
Market Energy Bull Critical 64.1% to Bear Bias -42.0%, down 106.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.02%▲ 0.17%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.72%
Energy▲ 26.3▲ 34.5▲ 12.1▼ 106.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.02%▲ 0.17%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.72%▲ 26.3▲ 34.5▲ 12.1▼ 106.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.72%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 106.0 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,124 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,368 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 835 times — 61%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 533 times — 39%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -41.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 21.09%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.03%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2016-09-30 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
64.1%
Bull Critical
-42.0%
Bear Bias
-75.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Bias zone recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for XAUUSD.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market trend energy recorded a -106% drop from the previous candle, from 64.1% to -42%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -84.4 to +67.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 30-09-2016 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,317.88, down 0.72% from the previous candle (1,327.43). Market Energy was -42%, down 106.0 points from 64.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,317.88, down 0.72% from the previous 4H candle (1,327.43).

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 106 percentage points from the previous candle — from 64.1% to -42%.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 64.1%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -42%, XAUUSD is 21.09 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 18.03 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 74.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -42%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -3.8%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 38.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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