Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,068.5 to 1,072.2, up 0.35%
Market Energy Bull Critical 60.1% to Bull Extreme 77.0%, up 16.9 pts
Up candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.53%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.33%▲ 0.35%
Energy▲ 106.1▲ 2.0▲ 5.6▲ 16.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.53%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.33%▲ 0.35%▲ 106.1▲ 2.0▲ 5.6▲ 16.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.35%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy up 16.9 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,127 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 762 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 762 times — 100%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 76.97%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 23.03%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 2.47%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2015-12-01 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
60.1%
Bull Critical
77.0%
Bull Extreme
65.3%
Bull Critical
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, Market XAUUSD in the Bull Extreme state.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market Energy moved from 60.1% to 77%, up +16.9% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.1 to +77.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 09:00 on 01-12-2015 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,072.2, up 0.35% from the previous candle (1,068.5). Market Energy was 77%, up 16.9 points from 60.1%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,072.2, up 0.35% from the previous 4H candle (1,068.5).

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 16.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 60.1% to 77%.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 60.1%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 77%, XAUUSD is 23.03 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 2.47 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.6%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 77%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 66.7%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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