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WHEN THE MARKET MEANS IT
Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from — to 1,182.79, flat —%
Market Energy to Bear Bias -50.6%, flat — pts
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price flat —%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy flat — pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,129 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,370 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 837 times — 61.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 533 times — 38.9%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -50.63%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 29.75%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 9.37%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2014-12-31 18:00 UTC
Not enough history to render a chart
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
Close:
-50.6%
Bear Bias
-46.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Bias state recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for XAUUSD.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy showed no change, currently -50.6%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Bias→Sellers→
Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 01:00 on 01-01-2015 closed, XAUUSD had Market Energy -50.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -50.6%, XAUUSD is 29.75 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 9.37 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -50.6%) sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.3%. XAUUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
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Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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