Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,080.06 to 4,077.12, down 0.07%
Market Energy Neutral 16.9% to Neutral 10.8%, down 6.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.04%▲ 0.46%▼ 0.10%▼ 0.07%
Energy▲ 28.1▲ 37.3▲ 1.1▼ 6.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.04%▲ 0.46%▼ 0.10%▼ 0.07%▲ 28.1▲ 37.3▲ 1.1▼ 6.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 44% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.1 pts — higher than 37% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,790 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,723 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,944 times — 51.4%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,779 times — 48.6%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 10.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 10.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 31.66%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-07-08 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
16.9%
Neutral
10.8%
Neutral
9.1%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, XAUUSD on 1H is in neutral with energy 10.8. Energy changed -6.1 from previous candle. State held for 3 consecutive candles.

XAUUSD on 1H timeframe is currently in neutral state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads 10.8, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -99 to +98.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 09-07-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,077.12, down 0.07% from the previous candle (4,080.06). Market Energy was 10.8%, down 6.1 points from 16.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,077.12, down 0.07% from the previous 1H candle (4,080.06). This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 44,526 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 16.9% to 10.8%. This drop is larger than 37% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 16.9%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 10.8%, XAUUSD is 10.1 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 31.66 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 10.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 10.8%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.5%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 25.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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