Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,821.87 to 1,816.43, down 0.30%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 90.9% to Bear Critical -64.7%, down 155.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.06%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.30%
Energy▲ 63.6▲ 47.9▲ 1.2▼ 155.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.06%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.30%▲ 63.6▲ 47.9▲ 1.2▼ 155.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.30% — higher than 91% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 155.5 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,817 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,317 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,436 times — 73.4%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 881 times — 26.6%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -64.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.67%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.83%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2022-01-18 03:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
90.9%
Bull Extreme
-64.7%
Bear Critical
-64.7%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, XAUUSD noted at the near-extreme Bear energy state.

Observing the XAUUSD market this session, Market Energy dropped -155.5% from the previous candle, from 90.9% to -64.7%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -94 to +90.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 10:00 on 18-01-2022 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,816.43, down 0.3% from the previous candle (1,821.87). Market Energy was -64.7%, down 155.5 points from 90.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,816.43, down 0.3% from the previous 1H candle (1,821.87). This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 18,071 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 155.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 90.9% to -64.7%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD on record since 2019.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 90.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.7%, XAUUSD is 4.67 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.83 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -13.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Critical, -64.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 77.9%. XAUUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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