Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,318.39 to 1,312.36, down 0.46%
Market Energy Bull Bias 42.1% to Bear Extreme -87.4%, down 129.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.20%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.46%
Energy▼ 7.4▲ 6.6▼ 47.5▼ 129.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.20%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.46%▼ 7.4▲ 6.6▼ 47.5▼ 129.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.46%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 129.5 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,793 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,194 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,194 times — 100%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -87.36%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.86%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 12.64%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2018-01-03 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
42.1%
Bull Bias
-87.4%
Bear Extreme
-81.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD in the Bear Extreme measurement.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, The energy level dropped -129.5%: from 42.1% now at -87.4%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -87.4 to +96.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 09:00 on 03-01-2018 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,312.36, down 0.46% from the previous candle (1,318.39). Market Energy was -87.4%, down 129.5 points from 42.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,312.36, down 0.46% from the previous 1H candle (1,318.39).

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 129.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 42.1% to -87.4%.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 42.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -87.4%, XAUUSD is 12.86 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 12.64 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24.7%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Extreme, -87.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -99.7%. XAUUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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