Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,268.1 to 1,268.27, up 0.01%
Market Energy Bull Critical 72.8% to Bull Critical 70.5%, down 2.3 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.05%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.08%▲ 0.01%
Energy▲ 32.2▲ 0.1▲ 40.8▼ 2.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.05%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.08%▲ 0.01%▲ 32.2▲ 0.1▲ 40.8▼ 2.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.01%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.3 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,793 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,624 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,126 times — 31.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,498 times — 68.9%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 70.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.02%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.48%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2017-12-22 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
72.8%
Bull Critical
70.5%
Bull Critical
58.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, XAUUSD within the Bull Critical energy zone.

Market energy movement Market Energy reading dropped -2.3%, moving from 72.8% to 70.5% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -75 to +97.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 22-12-2017 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,268.27, up 0.01% from the previous candle (1,268.1). Market Energy was 70.5%, down 2.3 points from 72.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,268.27, up 0.01% from the previous 1H candle (1,268.1).

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 72.8% to 70.5%.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 72.8%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 70.5%, XAUUSD is 4.02 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 10.48 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -36.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 70.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.5%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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