Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,308.12 to 1,307.03, down 0.08%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 80.9% to Bull Critical 69.4%, down 11.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.02%▲ 0.60%▼ 0.20%▼ 0.08%
Energy▲ 2.7▲ 5.0▼ 9.0▼ 11.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.02%▲ 0.60%▼ 0.20%▼ 0.08%▲ 2.7▲ 5.0▼ 9.0▼ 11.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.08%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.5 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,816 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,625 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,126 times — 31.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,499 times — 68.9%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 69.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 5.05%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 9.45%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2016-06-16 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
80.9%
Bull Extreme
69.4%
Bull Critical
9.3%
Neutral
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD in the near-peak Bull energy state.

Looking at the energy level, The energy level dropped -11.5%: from 80.9% now at 69.4%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.5 to +92.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 16-06-2016 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,307.03, down 0.08% from the previous candle (1,308.12). Market Energy was 69.4%, down 11.5 points from 80.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,307.03, down 0.08% from the previous 1H candle (1,308.12).

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 80.9% to 69.4%.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 80.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 69.4%, XAUUSD is 5.05 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 9.45 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 19.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -26.7%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 69.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 24.7%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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