Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,715.5 to 4,689.14, down 0.56%
Market Energy Bull Bias 29.6% to Neutral 19.9%, down 9.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.51%▲ 0.93%▼ 0.42%▼ 0.56%
Energy▲ 22.0▼ 14.3▼ 1.5▼ 9.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.51%▲ 0.93%▼ 0.42%▼ 0.56%▲ 22.0▼ 14.3▼ 1.5▼ 9.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.56% — higher than 61% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.7 pts — higher than 45% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,005 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Neutral occurrences: 335 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 174 times — 51.9%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 161 times — 48.1%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 19.9%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.98%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40.78%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2026-05-13 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
29.6%
Bull Bias
19.9%
Neutral
-11.7%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, XAUUSD on Daily is in neutral with energy 19.9. Energy changed -9.7 from previous candle.

XAUUSD on Daily timeframe is currently in neutral state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads 19.9, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from +19.9 to +45.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 13-05-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,689.14, down 0.56% from the previous candle (4,715.5). Market Energy was 19.9%, down 9.7 points from 29.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,689.14, down 0.56% from the previous Daily candle (4,715.5). This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 2,290 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 29.6% to 19.9%. This drop is larger than 45% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 29.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 19.9%, XAUUSD is 0.98 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40.78 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 29.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -22.5%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 19.9%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.7%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 0.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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